Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
111 Georgia Southern 0.0%   19 - 12 12 - 6 19 - 12 12 - 6 +4.2      +2.8 101 +1.4 132 80.9 13 +3.7 120 +3.5 2
116 Georgia St. 100.0%   13   23 - 9 13 - 5 23 - 9 13 - 5 +3.9      +2.6 108 +1.3 138 73.0 79 +7.0 77 +5.1 1
138 Texas St. 0.0%   22 - 9 12 - 6 22 - 9 12 - 6 +2.2      -1.6 221 +3.8 79 64.0 305 +4.2 113 +3.3 4
145 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 +1.6      +5.6 41 -4.0 280 66.1 245 -0.6 173 -0.9 7
150 Texas Arlington 0.0%   16 - 16 12 - 6 16 - 16 12 - 6 +1.0      -2.0 236 +3.0 96 66.4 241 +1.0 153 +3.4 3
167 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 9 13 - 16 9 - 9 -0.6      0.0 173 -0.6 186 72.2 93 -2.1 195 -0.8 6
178 Louisiana 0.0%   17 - 13 10 - 8 17 - 13 10 - 8 -0.9      +1.7 125 -2.7 247 77.8 22 +1.0 151 +0.9 5
201 Appalachian St. 0.0%   8 - 21 6 - 12 8 - 21 6 - 12 -2.5      +1.2 144 -3.7 264 76.9 29 -5.4 252 -4.5 10
214 South Alabama 0.0%   15 - 17 8 - 10 15 - 17 8 - 10 -2.8      -0.5 188 -2.3 240 66.4 239 -3.1 208 -2.2 8
229 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -4.0      -3.4 266 -0.6 184 74.8 56 -7.8 287 -6.6 12
248 Arkansas St. 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 11 - 19 7 - 11 -5.3      -1.1 209 -4.2 284 69.8 146 -3.8 221 -3.4 9
249 Troy 0.0%   10 - 18 5 - 13 10 - 18 5 - 13 -5.3      -1.0 206 -4.4 288 68.1 198 -4.1 225 -6.2 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Georgia Southern 2.0 100.0
Georgia St. 1.0 100.0
Texas St. 2.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 6.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 2.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 6.0 100.0
Louisiana 5.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 10.0 100.0
South Alabama 8.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 11.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 9.0 100.0
Troy 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Georgia Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Georgia St. 13 - 5 100.0
Texas St. 12 - 6 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 9 - 9 100.0
Texas Arlington 12 - 6 100.0
Coastal Carolina 9 - 9 100.0
Louisiana 10 - 8 100.0
Appalachian St. 6 - 12 100.0
South Alabama 8 - 10 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 5 - 13 100.0
Arkansas St. 7 - 11 100.0
Troy 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Georgia Southern
Georgia St. 100.0% 100.0
Texas St.
Louisiana Monroe
Texas Arlington
Coastal Carolina
Louisiana
Appalachian St.
South Alabama
Arkansas Little Rock
Arkansas St.
Troy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 7.9 55.1 36.9 0.1
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 10.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 10.9% 0.1 89.1 10.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0